DETERMINANTS OF THAILAND'S TRADE VALUE WITH CHINA

Wilasinee, Rakmumas (2025) DETERMINANTS OF THAILAND'S TRADE VALUE WITH CHINA. S2 thesis, Universitas Andalas.

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Abstract

The research analyses the determinants of Thailand–China trade value using annual time-series data from 1995 to 2024. The findings indicate that the key factors affecting trade value are the exchange rate, China’s economic growth, and Thailand’s inflation. The analysis reveals that exchange rate fluctuations negatively impact Thailand China trade value in both the short and long run, highlighting the sensitivity of Thai trade to currency volatility. China’s economic growth is negatively associated with Thai trade value, reflecting China’s increasing reliance on domestic supply chains and intensified global market competition. Meanwhile, Thailand’s inflation reduces trade competitiveness and constrains trade flows. In conclusion, maintaining macroeconomic stability, particularly through effective exchange rate management and inflation control, is crucial for sustaining and enhancing Thailand–China trade value in the future.

Item Type:	Thesis (S2)
Supervisors:	Prof. DR. Syafruddin Karimi, SE, MA
Uncontrolled Keywords:	Thailand–China trade, Trade value, Exchange rate, Inflation, Economic growth, Macroeconomic stability
Subjects:	H Social Sciences > HB Economic Theory
Divisions:	Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis > S2 Ekonomi
Depositing User:	s2 Ilmu Ekonomi
Date Deposited:	04 Sep 2025 03:49
Last Modified:	05 Sep 2025 06:30
URI:	http://scholar.unand.ac.id/id/eprint/511198

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